Crotone vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
41.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
PAD
1 - 2
CRO
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CRO
5 - 2
ABN
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ASG
3 - 3
CRO
31%
28%
40%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CRO
2 - 2
MOD
48%
26%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
CRO
64%
23%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 0
NOC
80%
15%
5%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CTT
1 - 2
SAM
30%
29%
41%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 0
ASC
75%
18%
8%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SAS
0 - 0
SAM
38%
29%
34%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 0
EMP
74%
18%
9%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |