Crotone vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
17.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 1
CRO
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2016 |
CRO
3 - 1
CAG
34%
28%
39%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
ACD
1 - 2
CRO
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
CRO
0 - 0
TRA
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
LAT
2 - 2
CRO
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PRG
0 - 4
PES
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
PRG
0 - 1
VIC
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
PRG
22%
28%
51%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 1
PRG
31%
30%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
PRG
4 - 1
LIV
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |