Crotone vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
39.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
TRA
1 - 0
CRO
40%
27%
34%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 1
JUS
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
LAT
2 - 3
CRO
30%
28%
42%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 1
EMP
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
PAD
0 - 0
CRO
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 0
TER
79%
15%
6%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 0
PAL
18%
27%
56%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
PAL
3 - 1
CTT
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
PAL
23%
28%
49%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 1
NOV
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |