Crotone vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
SAS
2 - 0
CRO
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 1
CTT
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
CRO
60%
23%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 1
VER
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
REG
1 - 1
CRO
58%
24%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
NOC
1 - 0
ABN
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 1
NOC
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
VIC
0 - 1
NOC
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NOC
0 - 4
REG
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 2
NOC
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |