Crotone vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
48.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
REG
2 - 0
CRO
65%
23%
12%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
CRO
1 - 1
EMP
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
VIC
4 - 0
CRO
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
CRO
1 - 1
PAL
41%
26%
34%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2002 |
CTT
3 - 2
CRO
54%
25%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
NAP
1 - 0
BAR
56%
25%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
SAM
0 - 2
NAP
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
NAP
1 - 1
CTT
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
SAL
3 - 1
NAP
37%
27%
37%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
NAP
1 - 1
TER
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |