Crotone vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
COM
0 - 1
CRO
18%
25%
57%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CRO
2 - 0
CES
47%
27%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
SPE
0 - 1
CRO
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CRO
3 - 0
TER
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 1
CRO
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
MOD
2 - 1
BAR
34%
29%
37%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
PRG
1 - 0
MOD
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
MOD
0 - 1
ACD
49%
28%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
TRA
2 - 1
MOD
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 0
LEO
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |