Crotone vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 2
CRO
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 0
SPE
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
PES
2 - 2
CRO
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 2
CES
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SIE
5 - 2
CRO
63%
23%
14%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MOD
3 - 1
TRA
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOD
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MOD
2 - 0
CTT
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 1
MOD
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
MOD
1 - 1
PAL
26%
28%
46%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |