Crotone vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
CRO
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
CRO
2 - 2
REG
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
PAD
2 - 1
CRO
42%
27%
32%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CRO
2 - 1
LEO
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
EMP
0 - 0
CRO
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
MOD
2 - 1
SAS
25%
26%
50%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
MOD
68%
20%
13%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
MOD
0 - 0
BAR
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ASC
2 - 3
MOD
51%
25%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
MOD
1 - 0
LEO
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |