Crotone vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
ANC
0 - 1
CRO
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
PIA
1 - 0
CRO
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
CRO
2 - 0
SAL
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
VIC
0 - 2
CRO
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
CRO
3 - 0
FRO
46%
25%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
MOD
1 - 1
SAS
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
VIC
1 - 1
MOD
43%
28%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
MOD
0 - 1
PIA
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
FRO
0 - 0
MOD
45%
25%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
MOD
0 - 2
TOR
37%
29%
34%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |