Crotone vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
32.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
CRO
1 - 2
PES
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
COM
1 - 1
CRO
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
MES
1 - 0
CRO
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
CRO
1 - 1
VIC
23%
24%
53%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
TER
0 - 0
CRO
69%
19%
13%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
MOD
3 - 0
REG
32%
28%
40%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
MOD
2 - 0
BAR
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
CAG
4 - 0
MOD
59%
24%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
MOD
1 - 0
ACL
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2001 |
MOD
3 - 0
PAL
58%
23%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |