Crotone vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
AVE
0 - 0
CRO
39%
25%
36%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
PIC
2 - 0
CRO
27%
26%
47%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 0
CRO
38%
26%
35%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CRO
3 - 1
MON
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
JUS
1 - 1
CRO
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
MES
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MES
2 - 2
RPO
45%
27%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 0
MES
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MES
2 - 1
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
JUS
4 - 1
MES
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |