Crotone vs ACR Messina analysis

Crotone ACR Messina
66 ELO 43
6.7% Tilt 15.7%
1334º General ELO ranking 3418º
53º Country ELO ranking 114º
ELO win probability
83%
Crotone
12.7%
Draw
4.3%
ACR Messina

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83%
Win probability
Crotone
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.8%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
4.3%
Win probability
ACR Messina
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Crotone
+13%
+3%
ACR Messina

Points and table prediction

Crotone
Their league position
ACR Messina
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
41
14º
20º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Catanzaro
97
97
100%
Crotone
78
78
100%
Pescara
63
63
100%
Picerno
60
60
0%
Audace Cerignola
60
60
0%
Calcio Foggia
59
59
100%
Monopoli
52
52
100%
Latina
47
47
100%
SSC Giugliano
47
47
100%
Virtus Francavilla
12º
46
46
10º
0%
Potenza Calcio
11º
46
46
11º
0%
Taranto
10º
46
46
12º
100%
Juve Stabia
13º
46
46
13º
0%
Avellino
14º
44
44
14º
100%
Turris Neapolis
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Monterosi Tuscia
17º
40
42
16º
100%
ACR Messina
16º
41
41
17º
100%
Gelbison
18º
37
37
18º
100%
Fidelis Andria
19º
34
34
19º
100%
Viterbese
20º
31
33
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Crotone
ACR Messina
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Crotone
ACR Messina
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Crotone
Crotone
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Dec. 2022
SSC
SSC Giugliano
2 - 3
Crotone
CRO
12%
21%
67%
66 51 15 0
11 Dec. 2022
CRO
Crotone
1 - 1
Gelbison
GEL
81%
14%
5%
66 50 16 0
04 Dec. 2022
AUD
Audace Cerignola
0 - 1
Crotone
CRO
17%
22%
61%
66 53 13 0
30 Nov. 2022
TAR
Taranto
2 - 2
Crotone
CRO
7%
18%
75%
66 47 19 0
27 Nov. 2022
CRO
Crotone
1 - 0
Latina
LAT
77%
16%
7%
66 50 16 0

Matches

ACR Messina
ACR Messina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Dec. 2022
MES
ACR Messina
1 - 2
Taranto
TAR
31%
26%
43%
44 50 6 0
11 Dec. 2022
JUS
Juve Stabia
3 - 0
ACR Messina
MES
68%
21%
12%
45 57 12 -1
04 Dec. 2022
MES
ACR Messina
0 - 1
Picerno
PIC
28%
26%
45%
45 52 7 0
30 Nov. 2022
USF
Calcio Foggia
1 - 0
ACR Messina
MES
76%
16%
8%
46 59 13 -1
27 Nov. 2022
MES
ACR Messina
0 - 1
Turris Neapolis
TUR
37%
25%
38%
47 49 2 -1