Crotone vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
40.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
ACI
1 - 1
CRO
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
CRO
3 - 0
SSS
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
USF
2 - 2
CRO
50%
25%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
CRO
2 - 1
GIU
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 1
CRO
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
MES
4 - 0
ACI
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 2
MES
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
TOR
1 - 3
MES
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
MES
3 - 0
COM
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
ASC
2 - 1
MES
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |