Crotone vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
47.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
CES
0 - 2
CRO
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
CRO
2 - 1
EMP
33%
29%
38%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 1
CRO
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
BRE
3 - 0
CRO
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2010 |
CRO
1 - 2
SAS
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
LEC
0 - 0
MOD
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
FRO
0 - 4
LEC
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2010 |
LEC
1 - 0
PIA
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2010 |
ANC
1 - 1
LEC
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
SAS
1 - 1
LEC
36%
27%
38%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |