Crotone vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
MOD
3 - 2
CRO
44%
29%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
CRO
0 - 3
GEN
41%
26%
32%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
CRO
2 - 1
NAP
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
ABN
2 - 1
CRO
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
CRO
0 - 1
VER
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
LEC
1 - 0
PIA
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
LEC
1 - 0
ARZ
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
LEC
1 - 0
MOD
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2007 |
RIM
1 - 0
LEC
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
LEC
5 - 0
FRO
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |