Crotone vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
63.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 1
CRO
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CRO
4 - 1
SAS
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
UDI
1 - 2
CRO
62%
21%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
CRO
1 - 1
JUV
8%
18%
74%
|
74 | 92 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 0
CRO
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 1
LAZ
39%
24%
37%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
LAZ
4 - 0
SAM
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
FIO
3 - 4
LAZ
40%
25%
35%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ROM
46%
23%
31%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |