Crotone vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2000 |
SAM
2 - 1
CRO
86%
10%
4%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
CRO
1 - 3
EMP
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2000 |
SIE
1 - 0
CRO
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
CRO
1 - 1
SIE
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
CRO
4 - 2
ANC
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2000 |
EMP
2 - 2
FER
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
FER
0 - 2
SAM
6%
17%
77%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
TER
2 - 1
FER
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
FER
1 - 2
SAM
8%
19%
73%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
ATL
4 - 0
FER
90%
8%
2%
|
52 | 81 | 29 | -1 |