Crotone vs Casertana analysis

Crotone Casertana
64 ELO 56
4.8% Tilt 13%
1372º General ELO ranking 2529º
53º Country ELO ranking 78º
ELO win probability
66.5%
Crotone
20.5%
Draw
13%
Casertana

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
Crotone
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13%
Win probability
Casertana
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Crotone
Their league position
Casertana
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
14º
65
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Juve Stabia
79
79
100%
Avellino
69
69
100%
Taranto
69
69
100%
Benevento
66
66
100%
Casertana
65
65
100%
Picerno
58
58
100%
Audace Cerignola
53
53
0%
SSC Giugliano
53
53
0%
Crotone
52
52
100%
Latina
10º
51
51
10º
100%
Calcio Foggia
11º
48
48
11º
0%
Sorrento
12º
48
48
12º
0%
Catania
13º
45
45
13º
100%
ACR Messina
14º
45
45
14º
100%
Turris Neapolis
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Potenza Calcio
16º
43
43
16º
100%
Monopoli
17º
42
42
17º
100%
Monterosi Tuscia
19º
35
35
18º
100%
Virtus Francavilla
18º
35
35
19º
100%
Brindisi
20º
29
29
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Crotone
Casertana
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
100% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Crotone
Casertana
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Crotone
Crotone
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 2024
MON
Monterosi Tuscia
1 - 0
Crotone
CRO
13%
21%
66%
65 51 14 0
10 Mar. 2024
CRO
Crotone
1 - 3
Latina
LAT
72%
18%
10%
66 53 13 -1
06 Mar. 2024
MES
ACR Messina
0 - 1
Crotone
CRO
18%
24%
58%
65 56 9 +1
02 Mar. 2024
CRO
Crotone
2 - 3
SSC Giugliano
SSC
69%
20%
11%
66 55 11 -1
26 Feb. 2024
USF
Calcio Foggia
2 - 1
Crotone
CRO
23%
24%
53%
66 57 9 0

Matches

Casertana
Casertana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 2024
CAS
Casertana
2 - 0
Virtus Francavilla
FRA
60%
23%
17%
54 50 4 0
11 Mar. 2024
TUR
Turris Neapolis
1 - 0
Casertana
CAS
41%
26%
34%
55 51 4 -1
07 Mar. 2024
CAS
Casertana
1 - 1
Audace Cerignola
AUD
32%
27%
41%
55 60 5 0
04 Mar. 2024
JUS
Juve Stabia
1 - 0
Casertana
CAS
56%
25%
19%
55 62 7 0
25 Feb. 2024
CAS
Casertana
2 - 1
Brindisi
BRI
71%
18%
11%
55 45 10 0