Crotone vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LAT
1 - 0
CRO
40%
28%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
CRO
0 - 2
TER
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
CRO
0 - 0
CAS
85%
12%
4%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2014 |
CRO
0 - 3
BAR
42%
25%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 0
CRO
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
4 - 2
VAR
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
LIV
1 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
PIS
2 - 1
CAR
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
JUS
0 - 2
CAR
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 2
VIR
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |