Crotone vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 0
CRO
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CRO
0 - 2
ROM
13%
19%
67%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
CRO
0 - 2
JUV
11%
20%
69%
|
72 | 92 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 0
CRO
55%
24%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CRO
4 - 1
EMP
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SAM
1 - 1
CAG
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAG
0 - 2
JUV
16%
22%
62%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 0
CAG
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAG
1 - 1
BOL
65%
21%
15%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ROM
1 - 0
CAG
81%
13%
6%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |