Crotone vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
38.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
ACD
1 - 2
CRO
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
CRO
0 - 0
TRA
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
LAT
2 - 2
CRO
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CRO
1 - 0
MOD
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
COM
0 - 1
CRO
18%
25%
57%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
CAG
3 - 0
LEO
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 2
CAG
20%
27%
54%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CAG
2 - 1
BAR
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
INT
3 - 0
CAG
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
LIV
1 - 1
CAG
28%
27%
45%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |