Crotone vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
PES
2 - 1
CRO
34%
27%
40%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CRO
1 - 2
VER
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
LIV
0 - 1
CRO
13%
24%
63%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CRO
4 - 1
USF
56%
23%
22%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +3 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CTT
3 - 0
CRO
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
BRE
2 - 1
PAL
23%
27%
51%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
BRE
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 1
PES
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SPE
3 - 2
BRE
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 1
PRG
36%
27%
38%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |