Crotone vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CTT
0 - 0
CRO
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CRO
1 - 0
TRA
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
PES
2 - 1
CRO
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CRO
1 - 0
LIV
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 0
CRO
48%
26%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 2
LAT
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 0
BRE
34%
29%
37%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
BRE
0 - 1
MOD
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 2
BRE
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 2
PRG
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |