Crotone vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
ATL
5 - 1
CRO
78%
15%
8%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
CRO
0 - 2
INT
17%
22%
60%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
CAG
1 - 0
CRO
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CRO
0 - 0
VER
42%
26%
33%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
CRO
0 - 3
ACM
20%
23%
57%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
BEN
0 - 4
ROM
5%
13%
82%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
NAP
6 - 0
BEN
91%
7%
2%
|
69 | 91 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
BEN
0 - 1
TOR
14%
23%
63%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
BEN
0 - 1
BOL
36%
30%
35%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SAM
2 - 1
BEN
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |