Crotone vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 1
CRO
45%
26%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
CRO
4 - 0
VIR
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
VIS
2 - 1
CRO
37%
29%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
FCC
3 - 2
CRO
50%
27%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
CRO
1 - 1
CHI
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2003 |
BEN
1 - 1
CHI
47%
28%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
SSS
0 - 2
BEN
56%
26%
18%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
USF
3 - 3
BEN
71%
20%
10%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
BEN
1 - 0
PAT
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
TAR
2 - 2
BEN
50%
28%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |