Crotone vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
TAR
2 - 0
CRO
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
CRO
1 - 1
PES
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
SSS
1 - 1
CRO
48%
28%
24%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
CRO
1 - 1
SAS
69%
19%
13%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
VIS
0 - 0
CRO
33%
28%
40%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
BEN
1 - 0
LAQ
58%
24%
18%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
SOR
0 - 0
BEN
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 0
BEN
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
BEN
1 - 1
SSS
28%
32%
41%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
TAR
0 - 0
BEN
55%
26%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |