Crotone vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
70.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
CRO
1 - 1
SPA
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAG
4 - 2
CRO
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CRO
1 - 1
JUV
11%
20%
69%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
SAS
4 - 1
CRO
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CRO
0 - 2
ACM
18%
24%
59%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 2
AJA
42%
22%
36%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 3
SAM
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
MID
0 - 4
ATL
35%
24%
42%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
NAP
4 - 1
ATL
42%
23%
35%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
5 - 2
CAG
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |