Crotone vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
55.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
INT
1 - 1
CRO
80%
14%
6%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CRO
1 - 1
CAG
39%
27%
35%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
VER
0 - 3
CRO
53%
25%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
ACM
1 - 0
CRO
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2017 |
CRO
0 - 1
NAP
8%
16%
76%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 0
CHI
76%
15%
8%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
ATL
0 - 1
JUV
37%
25%
38%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
SAS
0 - 3
ATL
32%
26%
42%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ATL
0 - 1
NAP
30%
23%
47%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
ROM
1 - 2
ATL
58%
22%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |