Crotone vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
TER
1 - 2
CRO
29%
29%
43%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
CRO
1 - 0
VIR
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
AVE
0 - 0
CRO
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CRO
4 - 2
PES
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
BRE
3 - 0
CRO
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 0
NOV
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CAG
1 - 2
SPE
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 2
TRA
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
ACD
2 - 2
SPE
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SPE
2 - 0
MOD
57%
25%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |