Crotone vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
LEO
3 - 2
CRO
32%
29%
40%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
CRO
2 - 0
AVE
44%
27%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
MOD
3 - 0
CRO
48%
28%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CRO
1 - 1
VIR
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
CRO
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 2
LAT
44%
28%
29%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
ACD
0 - 1
VAR
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 0
VAR
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 1
AVE
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
PRG
2 - 0
VAR
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |