Crotone vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SAS
2 - 1
CRO
54%
26%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CRO
1 - 0
BRE
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CES
3 - 2
CRO
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 2
VIR
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
CRO
4 - 1
BRE
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CTT
2 - 1
GRO
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 1
CTT
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CTT
1 - 0
TER
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CTT
2 - 0
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
EMP
3 - 2
CTT
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |