Crotone vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 0
CRO
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
CRO
2 - 1
TRA
44%
26%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
JUS
2 - 2
CRO
24%
25%
51%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
CRO
0 - 1
LAT
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
EMP
3 - 1
CRO
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2014 |
BAR
4 - 1
NOV
50%
26%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
SPE
2 - 0
BAR
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
CTT
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 2
BAR
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 0
JUS
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |