Crotone vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 0
CRO
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 1
CTT
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SAS
2 - 1
CRO
54%
26%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CRO
1 - 0
BRE
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CES
3 - 2
CRO
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 2
BAR
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
TER
67%
22%
11%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ASC
1 - 3
BAR
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 1
CTT
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
PRG
4 - 1
BAR
13%
22%
65%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |