Crotone vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 0
PIA
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
SAL
4 - 1
CRO
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 2
VIC
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
FRO
1 - 1
CRO
66%
21%
14%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
CRO
2 - 1
PAD
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
ANC
0 - 0
CES
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
ANC
2 - 1
PIA
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ANC
3 - 1
FRO
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
REG
0 - 3
ANC
65%
22%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
TOR
1 - 1
ANC
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |