Crotone vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
LIV
1 - 2
CRO
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CRO
0 - 1
TER
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 0
CRO
49%
26%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 0
GRO
62%
22%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
CTT
2 - 2
CRO
43%
27%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
CES
1 - 2
ASC
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CES
1 - 0
MOD
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
VAR
3 - 2
CES
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
CTT
1 - 1
CES
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
CES
1 - 0
TER
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |