Crotone vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
6.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
GET
1 - 0
CRO
69%
21%
10%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2019 |
CRO
3 - 0
USC
91%
8%
1%
|
72 | 33 | 39 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
CRO
2 - 1
MON
77%
16%
7%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
CRO
3 - 0
ASC
58%
24%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
SPE
2 - 0
CRO
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
ARZ
1 - 0
TUR
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
PIS
1 - 0
ARZ
49%
28%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2019 |
ARZ
2 - 3
PIS
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -3 |
| 22 May. 2019 |
VIT
0 - 2
ARZ
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
ARZ
3 - 0
VIT
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |