Courgenay vs Moutier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
30.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Courgenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
OSA
0 - 5
FCC
38%
22%
41%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
MOU
2 - 0
LIE
50%
21%
29%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
MOU
2 - 3
FCP
74%
15%
11%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
LER
2 - 0
MOU
32%
23%
46%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
MOU
4 - 1
ALL
52%
21%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
LIE
1 - 1
MOU
40%
23%
38%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |