Copenhague II vs BGA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Copenhague II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
FCK
2 - 2
NOR
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
SKO
2 - 1
FCK
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
FCK
3 - 1
GRE
58%
22%
21%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
B93
1 - 0
FCK
56%
21%
23%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
SKJ
1 - 1
FCK
39%
24%
36%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2008 |
BGA
0 - 1
B93
18%
23%
59%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
GRE
2 - 0
BGA
65%
20%
15%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
BGA
0 - 1
ROS
21%
24%
55%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
BRO
3 - 1
BGA
78%
15%
8%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
BGA
1 - 5
NOR
28%
25%
47%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -3 |