Collina d'Oro vs Kickers Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
25.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
5º
1º
15
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Collina d'Oro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
RSZ
0 - 1
FCC
67%
17%
16%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FCC
1 - 1
ZUG
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 4
FCC
36%
22%
42%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 4
WIL
4%
8%
88%
|
30 | 65 | 35 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
FCC
1 - 3
CHA
68%
18%
15%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Kickers Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
RSZ
3 - 1
LUZ
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LUZ
3 - 1
ZOF
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BUO
3 - 3
LUZ
44%
23%
33%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
LUZ
5 - 0
IBA
64%
20%
17%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
ESC
2 - 5
LUZ
15%
20%
66%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |