Collina d'Oro vs Buochs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
27.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
5º
1º
37
5º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Collina d'Oro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LUZ
0 - 3
FCC
25%
21%
54%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 2
RSZ
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ZUG
0 - 1
FCC
44%
22%
34%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCC
3 - 2
ASC
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 1
CHA
65%
18%
17%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BUO
1 - 1
FCC
63%
21%
17%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
LUZ
1 - 2
BUO
29%
22%
49%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BUO
1 - 1
GOL
72%
16%
12%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
RSZ
0 - 2
BUO
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BUO
2 - 1
FCU
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |