Collina d'Oro vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
16%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
5º
1º
27
14º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Collina d'Oro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 1
CHA
65%
18%
17%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BRU
0 - 1
FCC
29%
23%
48%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FCC
2 - 1
FCS
65%
18%
17%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCC
1 - 2
FCC
23%
22%
55%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FCC
2 - 2
GOL
69%
16%
15%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ASC
2 - 0
LUZ
42%
23%
34%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 1
BUO
28%
21%
51%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
RSZ
1 - 0
ASC
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 1
ZUG
20%
21%
59%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
ASC
48%
22%
30%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |