Collina d'Oro vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
27.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
7º
3º
39
2º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Collina d'Oro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BRU
2 - 0
FCC
23%
21%
56%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
SCE
2 - 1
FCC
30%
22%
48%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FCC
1 - 1
ZUG
45%
22%
33%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
FCC
12%
16%
72%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 0
PER
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ASC
3 - 1
HER
55%
22%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
FCC
1 - 2
ASC
34%
23%
43%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BRU
3 - 2
ASC
26%
23%
51%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ASC
0 - 0
ZUG
31%
23%
45%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SCE
1 - 1
ASC
46%
22%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |