Cincinnati vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CFS
1 - 2
CIN
28%
24%
48%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
CIN
4 - 0
CAV
78%
14%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CIN
0 - 0
TOR
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
CAV
0 - 2
CIN
14%
21%
65%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
CIN
5 - 2
NER
53%
22%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
PUM
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
TIJ
1 - 1
MON
22%
26%
52%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
JUA
0 - 3
MON
17%
26%
57%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
TOL
46%
25%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
COM
74%
18%
9%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |