Cincinnati vs FC Juárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
RSL
0 - 1
CIN
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
CIN
3 - 0
IMI
43%
24%
32%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
CIN
2 - 4
COC
43%
25%
33%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
CIN
2 - 1
CFS
41%
24%
35%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
ORL
1 - 2
CIN
41%
24%
35%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Juárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
TIG
1 - 0
JUA
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
JUA
1 - 1
AME
36%
27%
38%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
JUA
1 - 1
PUM
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
JUA
0 - 2
QRO
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
JUA
2 - 2
NEC
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |