Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
60%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
CIN
1 - 1
CHA
55%
26%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 0
CIN
40%
30%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
CIN
1 - 0
LOU
36%
23%
40%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
CIN
1 - 0
TOR
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
CIN
2 - 1
PHU
68%
20%
13%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
COR
2 - 1
COC
35%
28%
38%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
COC
3 - 0
SES
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
TOR
5 - 0
COC
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
NER
2 - 1
COC
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
MON
2 - 3
COC
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |