Cincinnati vs North Carolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2018 |
CIN
4 - 1
DET
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
CHA
4 - 1
CIN
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CIN
4 - 2
AFC
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2018 |
IND
2 - 3
CIN
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
OTT
0 - 3
CIN
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 0
LAN
86%
11%
4%
|
62 | 23 | 39 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 0
PNN
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
OTT
1 - 1
CAR
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 0
CAR
16%
22%
62%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 2
CAR
34%
26%
41%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |