Chirpan vs Brestnik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
58.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chirpan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ZAG
4 - 0
FCC
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 0
ROZ
35%
24%
42%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
SOZ
4 - 1
FCC
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
FCC
2 - 1
ROD
32%
24%
45%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
MAR
8 - 0
FCC
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Brestnik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 1
ARK
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 1
SVI
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
LUD
1 - 0
BRE
74%
18%
8%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 0
DOR
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
SVE
4 - 1
BRE
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |