FC Châtel-St-Denis vs Stade-Lausanne-Ouchy III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
41.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+75%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
11º
16º
16º
29
4º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
72% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
72% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Châtel-St-Denis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 1
FCC
88%
9%
4%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
FCC
1 - 1
USC
20%
20%
59%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 4
ECH
18%
20%
62%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
FCC
0 - 4
VER
24%
21%
55%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
FCC
0 - 2
FAR
18%
22%
61%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Stade-Lausanne-Ouchy III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
SLO
1 - 1
ODG
13%
17%
70%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
ROM
1 - 0
SLO
80%
12%
9%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
TER
4 - 0
SLO
80%
12%
8%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 3
CON
21%
20%
59%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
UGS
1 - 0
SLO
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |