FC Châtel-St-Denis vs Signal Bernex-Confignon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
68.6%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
11º
16º
16º
34
4º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
46.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
97.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 36 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
53.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
89% | |
|
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 56% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 44% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Châtel-St-Denis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 0
FCC
13%
17%
70%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCC
0 - 3
MAR
16%
18%
67%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
USC
1 - 1
FCC
41%
22%
37%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 2
LAN
12%
15%
73%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
ECH
3 - 0
FCC
46%
22%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Signal Bernex-Confignon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
SBC
1 - 1
TER
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SBC
1 - 3
ODG
51%
22%
28%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ROM
1 - 2
SBC
28%
21%
52%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SBC
1 - 7
SER
4%
13%
83%
|
39 | 85 | 46 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SBC
3 - 0
FCA
33%
23%
43%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |