FC Châtel-St-Denis vs Signal Bernex-Confignon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
27.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
12º
13º
55
3º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
55.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
73% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Châtel-St-Denis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PLO
3 - 4
FCC
20%
20%
60%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FCC
4 - 2
PER
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
VEY
1 - 4
FCC
18%
20%
62%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCC
1 - 1
COL
67%
17%
16%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FAR
2 - 4
FCC
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Signal Bernex-Confignon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SBC
4 - 1
VEY
78%
14%
8%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
COL
1 - 1
SBC
26%
21%
53%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
SBC
1 - 2
FAR
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
STA
2 - 6
SBC
46%
22%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SBC
0 - 0
ODG
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |